[Jarons]

The Reds own a 1 game lead on the Cardinals in the Central division going into the All-Star break. Looking at the future schedules, the Cards seem to have a rough set of games for the oncoming month whereas the Reds have a lighter schedule. With that kind of scheduling, the Reds can hopefully push out a lead in the central. By August 1st, the Reds should have around a 5 game lead and hopefully stay healthy and make a trade or two to get a solid bat or arm in the bullpen.
This is the break down for the Reds season going into the All-Star break:
49 wins 41 losses with a .544 win percentage.
Home: 27-19
Road: 22-22

The Bats has moved Chapman into the bullpen. I foresee the Reds bringing up Chapman the same way the Rays used Price the season the Rays went to the World Series.
I hope your predicition is right and we do not have a typical Reds' swoon.