[TheRealThing]

Let's look at it this way. Conservatives come from 60% of those polled.

Likely among independents a majority usually vote with conservatives. From what I can learn that is not so much a forgone conclusion as you would like to let on.

FLORIDA ---- http://ivn.us/2012/11/08/president-obama...dent-vote/
"It’s possible that a large group of independent voters swung the state in Obama’s favor. The percentage of Republicans was equal to that of Democrats, putting the decision largely in the hands of independents. Obama also got a boost from the minority vote. According to CNN exit polls, an impressive 95 percent of African Americans chose Obama, along with 60 percent of Hispanics. Women, making up 55 percent of the voter population in Florida, also favored Obama."