[DragonFire]

Good research.
Im curious to see what will be happening in the next alignment.
It seems a lot of schools are either consolidating or losing number, or largely gaining numbers.
Im curious to see where some of these borderline schools would fall.
If things keep pace in 5A i wouldnt be surprised to see Perry County and Letcher County fall to 4A. Talk about a big time mess of figuring out new districts. Harlan and Whitley County would still be 5A, and my guess is that they would move into a district with North and South Laurel while the Pulaski County schools, along with Madison Southern and Lincoln County would remain in the same district.

There are a few teams around this are that will eventually be 5A if there numbers keep growing like they have such as Knox Central.

It will be an interesting alignment.

Letcher County Central and Perry County Central would both need a large bump to stay in 5A. They'd be the 10th & 11th largest in 4A, respectively 31 and 36 males below CovCath. That's a lot of schools to jump to stay up. Your read on what that would mean for those districts is exactly what I had in my mockup. Knox Central is a team that if it keeps growing could work their way into 5A by 2019.

Some names that are in significant danger of dropping to 4A in the next alignment are John Hardin and Warren Central. Warren Central had 512 males this time around, and would be the 6th largest 4A school. It's not out of the realm of possibility they could remain in 5A, but they'd need a bump. John Hardin had 492 males this year, 12th largest in what would be 4A. So they'll basically be 4A unless they jump by around 70 males next year.

What that means (to tie it into the team that this thread is actually about) is that if nothing changes before the realignment, Bowling Green could find itself even more set in 5A than they already are. CovCath potentially moving up is about the only possible negative that could occur. It's entirely possible Christian County will be the only team with a pulse to oppose the Purples in that alignment.

If CovCath remains in 4A, that class will be ridiculous.