[EKUAlum05]

I'm a little surprised Belfry is the underdog in this one. Also, if Bowling Green is a 24 point favorite against John Hardin, how much will the spread be if they make the finals against Pulaski County or Anderson County?

If I were setting the line right now:

BG (-40.5) against Anderson County and (-42.5) against Pulaski

John Hardin's ball control style and their athleticism is the only thing that keeps the number down a bit...that and the close game last year and how JH played Highlands tough. Pulaski and Anderson neither have the athletes of JH and with the clock stopping for incompletions I could see it getting uglier with an increase in possessions. I think AC enters as a favorite against Pulaski.

If the Bourbon/Belfry game were at Belfry I would reverse the line... Belfry has had defensive issues all season that are still a concern.. Bourbon has a decided advantage with experience returning 9 starters whereas Belfry has 5 Freshman seeing significant playing time... and playing at Home certainly helps.