[Hoot Gibson]

^
Trump will come out of this with the most delegates. That is a sure thing.
Whether he can secure is the only question.

Whether or not he secures wont matter IMO. The establishment don't have the sack on them to go against voters. If they do, they will lose millions. Its time for them to realize its politicians in general we wont gone.

I doubt that Trump will be the nominee unless he wins the majority of delegates before the first ballot of the convention. If he falls short, then most of the delegates will be free to vote their consciences. At that point, there will be two sides - pro-Trump and anti-Trump. I don't believe that Trump will be able to win a contested convention because Cruz is the only candidate who was won the majority of votes in any state so far.

If delegates's preferences reflect the will of the people, then Trump either locks up the nomination before the convention or there is a strong possibility that he will lose. If the GOP delegates do not ditch the rule that nominees must win at least eight states, then the nomination would come down to a vote on Cruz vs. Trump. Nobody else will qualify.

With Cruz beginning to pick up the endorsements of Republicans who hate him a little bit less than they hate Trump, such as Jeb Bush and especially Lindsey Graham, it looks like the establishment may be prepared to tolerate a Cruz presidency to save the party the embarrassment of four years of Trump.

If Kasich drops out of the race after Cruz wins Wisconsin, then I like Cruz's chances of winning the nomination, but Cruz needs to put together a string of wins to show delegates that he has the momentum entering the convention.