[Pick6]

Negative ads are effective in politics and Trump cannot win the election without spending heavily to counter Clinton's ads. Trump is also relying almost entirely on the GOP's own ground organization because he has not invested in one of his own.

You are right about the books that have been written about the Clintons. Most of them have been very unflattering and should be enough to convince anybody not to vote for Hillary. But even with all of the negatives, most of which her strongest supporters are already aware, Clinton has now led Trump in the last 22 national polls listed by Real Clear Politics.

In contrast to Hillary, most voters are not aware of the details of Trump's background, so if Hillary is allowed to spend hundreds of millions of dollars more attacking Trump than he spends to respond and make counter attacks, Trump's poll numbers will go down.

Trump was the beneficiary of more free, positive publicity during the GOP primaries than all of his opponents combined. That is not happening since Trump became the presumptive Republican nominee. Nor is it going to happen between now and November.

If Trump wants to win, he will have to buy positive media coverage in large blocks. The media will always side with liberal Democrats over Republicans in a general presidential campaign. Trump is not immune to basic political facts. If he cannot spend about as much on his campaign as Hillary does, then he will get trounced. (Assuming Hillary stays out of jail until after the election.)

Again, who watches TV? Not millennials. True, the media is united against Trump. Public approval of the media is 0. It is universally acknowledged that there is no longer such a thing as unbiased press. Everything that has hurt Trump has been done by Trump to himself. Nothing that Hillary has done or said has stuck. Her constituency is largely a population that depends upon government for survival. The fact the traditional 1 percenter GOP donors are not donating to Trump is not a liability, it is an ASSET. It only reinforces the point that Hillary is owned , and Trump, is not.