[jetpilot]

I am really here for the horse race. It is a waste of my time trying to persuade anybody not to vote for an empty pantsuit this close to the election.

OSH, I have to give you credit for putting a positive spin on a poll that apparently lacks the credibility to rate a place in the RCP averages.

Kamala drastically cut her campaign ad buys in North Carolina a few days ago. I to not believe that she did so because she thinks that she has the state locked up.

You're insistence that Kamala Harris is going to carry Arab-Americans, Asian-Americans, Latinos, and Black Americans at the same rate as Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton did contradicts every poll that I have seen. It also contradicts the fact that black conservative social media content creators has exploded since Biden and Harris took office. I am probably subscribed to as many black conservative Youtube political channels and similar white channels. Those channels were far less numerous in 2020. With subscriptions to each channel numbering 400,000+, they will have an impact in this election.

I just watched J.D. Vance's interview with Joe Rogan. You can't buy effective publicity that a 3-hour+ interview with Rogan delivers for free. With a minimum of 30 to 40 million viewers for each interview, Trump will pick up votes across a broad demographic spectrum. If you think that Vance and Trump were "speaking to the choir," then you are wrong. Joe Rogan endorsed Bernie Sanders in 2020. He has viewers, mostly male, across the political spectrum because he interviews people that he finds interesting and that he thinks will draw large audiences. Most are not politicians.

It is certainly possible that Harris will upset Trump in the election, but both the polls and the betting odds trends currently favor Trump. The more voters see of Harris, the less favorably they view her. Democrats should have pulled the bait and switch much later in the campaign.

Harris winning will be no more of an upset than Boyle beating Johnson Central or Corbin. If you look in the right place, you'll see Harris is a considerable favorite. Allan Lichtman's methodology takes 13 keys into consideration. These 13 factors are what drives election results, NOT polls. It takes the governing party(the Dems in this case) losing six keys to lose the election. Lichtman has Harris losing just four keys. It's not really a close call. These keys have accurately predicted every election since 1860( Lichtman's keys predicted 2000 Gore/Bush in favor of Gore. Turns out, Lichtman and his keys  was right. The SC handed the election, wrongly, to Bush. Tens of thousands of legitimate ballots cast for Gore were tossed out). So, his method is without a legitimate blemish.

Harris will be the next president. It's time for a female president. Men have screwed things up for way too long, now,

Voting for someone based on their gender is weak sexist desperate and dumb