[jetpilot]

15th is still pikeville’s to lose with jc and Paintsville having a shot.  Hazard is the clear favorite in the 14th with Wolfe and Knott having a shot.  Knott doesn’t have the pitching outside of Napier to make a deep run and Wolfe tends to make too many errors and showboats a little to much for my liking

Lawrence County definitely has a shot also.  Pikeville may very well win it, but I wouldn't say it's theirs to lose.  The draw will be huge.  I don't think Floyd Central, Pburg, or Belfry have the horses to win it, but they're definitely good enough to win a first round game.  The top 4 are all capable of beating each other depending on pitching matchups.

It's Pikeville's to lose but they will have to face every team's best pitcher which makes it tough. At this stage I say Pikeville 55%, Paintsville 20%, Johnson Central 20%, Lawrence Co. 5%, everyone else zero%.