[ronald_reagan]

They did some changes to the European model and it did make it worse. The Euro was probably the more reliable at one time, but now seems to be fading a bit. I still trust it more than I do the GFS beyond 3 days. If that storm for the 17th of this month verified, people around here would be very excited. A general 8-12 inch snowfall would occur from south central KY into Eastern KY. Central Virginia would get upwards of 2 feet. But the 18Z GFS had this same storm tracking into Michigan. So it's definitely too far away to pinpoint anything, but it is definitely something to keep an eye on. The 12Z GFS also shows snow showers sticking around until the 20th of December which could keep a good snowpack around here for Christmas. It would be nice to have a white Christmas for a chage.

What site are you using for your models? Do you have a site that has all the models? I have to go in between a few to get them all. I can get the GFS/NAM from NOAA, but unless I'm just missing something there, I have to go to other sites to get the CAN and Euro.

Where are you going? Thanks!

PM me from time to time if you want. Its enjoyable to talk about these things.