[BCF4L]

You really think so? Not that I'm questioning your judgement, because I'll surely learn from you the more that I read of your posts.....

Its just, I see less than -10 C during a 12 hour period. This would be around 10-15 degrees or so. The ground could be 45 degrees and it would stick.

BCF4L, do you have any good websites besides model showing... just educational websites themselves? I've been caught up by all of this lately... and its captivated me. I don't seem to be able to get enough... kinda like Crack.

It is definitely addicting. But really, for all I know, it could turn out to be a blizzard. Honestly, with the trends of the latest models, and the way KY weather has been the past few Winters, I doubt that anything will stick. Just too many things going against us right now. If we could get the moisture to start transferring to the seconday low that will be forming in NC, then we would be in for some fun I believe. But right now the models are showing a slow transfer meaning most of the precip will fall as rain. The slow transfer means that once the low is crossing over KY, if it doesn't transfer to the secondary low, then you will see the WAA really pull into eastern KY. That's what the models are showing now. If the transfer is quicker, then the warm air stays to the south meaning more frozen precip. The only problem with a faster transfer is we have less moisture to work with. So really its a lose-lose situation either way.