[BlackcatAlum]

This is the special waring statement by the National Weather Service. Please god, let it snow!

MONTGOMERY-BATH-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE- ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-MORGAN- JOHNSON- WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT- KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY- LETCHER-MARTIN- PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...IRVINE... STANTON...FRENCHBURG...MOUNT VERNON... MCKEE...WEST LIBERTY... PAINTSVILLE... CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE... PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE... JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE... HAZARD...WHITESBURG...INEZ... PIKEVILLE 921 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...A FAST SHOT OF LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...
A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK SOUTHEAST ACROSS KENTUCKY ON WEDNESDAY. IT WILL INITIALLY BRING LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA...STARTING ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. MOST AREAS WILL SEE LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION...BUT A FEW SPOTS IN A CORRIDOR FROM OWINGSVILLE TO INEZ...MAY SEE UP TO ONE INCH OF SNOW. AS TEMPERATURES WARM UP...THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN DURING THE DAY. THIS WILL PREVENT ANY GREATER ACCUMULATION OF SNOW. COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE DAY... CHANGING ANY REMAINING PRECIPITATION TO FLURRIES OR SNOW SHOWERS BY EVENING. HOWEVER...LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY EVENING.

[ComfortEagle]

I hope we get some here.

[ronald_reagan]

I hope we get some here.

Latest GFS and NAM models are trending even further north. Radar is tracking it going north.

My best guess is some rooftops whitened here in Lexington. However, if the storm can tap in to ANY gulf moisture, that could change. But thats somewhat unlikely.

[Midee1]

Latest GFS and NAM models are trending even further north. Radar is tracking it going north.

My best guess is some rooftops whitened here in Lexington. However, if the storm can tap in to ANY gulf moisture, that could change. But thats somewhat unlikely.

Looking at weather.com it's going southeast right now.


http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/curr...mated.html

[ronald_reagan]

Looking at weather.com it's going southeast right now.


http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/curr...mated.html

Yes, it is. The track is a northerly track. In meteorlogical terms, you talk about tracks. The overall position of the storm, not the direction it is moving. It could be moving dead east, north east, south east, but still track to the north.

The GFS(x) 12z, 18z, NAM, European, the Canadian Model, all have it going further north than what is needed to really do anything too much here. But they're not detecting gulf moisture as of yet, nor do I suspect they will.

[BlackcatAlum]

From looking at the radar, the storm is currently in the greater Cincinnati area, stretching down to Owensboro. It is heading southeast... YES!

[15thRegionCrazy]

I hope we get some snow...

[MVP2]

Let the snow pour!!! lol....I hope it snows!!!!

[mrfootball03]

Yes, it is. The track is a northerly track. In meteorlogical terms, you talk about tracks. The overall position of the storm, not the direction it is moving. It could be moving dead east, north east, south east, but still track to the north.

The GFS(x) 12z, 18z, NAM, European, the Canadian Model, all have it going further north than what is needed to really do anything too much here. But they're not detecting gulf moisture as of yet, nor do I suspect they will.

well, we arn't meteorlogist, so no use for meteorlogical terms, a simple "yep, its going southeast" would have been a better gesture hoss.

[ronald_reagan]

well, we arn't meteorlogist, so no use for meteorlogical terms, a simple "yep, its going southeast" would have been a better gesture hoss.

we're not mr. football either... but we still talk about football

the quote was a reference to me saying its tracking north. I was merely clearing up the misunderstanding.

[alfus21]

we're not mr. football either... but we still talk about football

the quote was a reference to me saying its tracking north. I was merely clearing up the misunderstanding.

Please stay on the topic. And in the future if you want to "merely" clear up a misunderstanding don't laugh a person like you did because they're not as educated as well as you seem to be on the subject of weather.

[ronald_reagan]

Please stay on the topic. And in the future if you want to "merely" clear up a misunderstanding don't laugh a person like you did because they're not as educated as well as you seem to be on the subject of weather.

excuse me? that was entirely on topic, in response to mrfootball.

And it was a laugh at myself for not being more clear, not midee1, he/she is big enough to take up for him/herself...

:argue:

[alfus21]

excuse me? that was entirely on topic, in response to mrfootball.

And it was a laugh at myself for not being more clear, not midee1, he/she is big enough to take up for him/herself...

:argue:

That's great, but please feel free to get back on topic. If it doesn't have to do with snow, it doesn't have anything to do with this thread.

[ronald_reagan]

That's great, but please feel free to get back on topic.

it was, and still is.

anyways, we have some new numbers and better tracking info coming out in about 30-45 minutes. as of now, still tracking north, looks like cinci might get a few inches... tempature here in lexington is about 34-35 degrees and ground temps are close to 40. This along with 35 degree air aloft, lexington isn't looking like a winter wonderland.

We got a pretty nice little storm coming about 288 hours out..... its actually looking like a southern storm from nm and tx area. these are the storms you want. However at 12 days out, its wayyyy to far to consider any accumlations, or exact temps.

[-STAT-]

I just hope Morehead gets some snow.

[ronald_reagan]

here's the newest info, won't have another update till 5-6 in the morning coming out.

looks lexington might at best get a dusting, although i doubt it personally. this storms track is just too far north. I also don't have too much faith in the extreme east ky getting much snow. pike county might get up to an inch or so. Right now the biggest snows will be found along the ohio river, with even larger amounts about 50 miles north of there. Up to 5 inches could be expected.

This is an "Alberta Clipper", but is way far south compared to normal. Had this happened in mid January, without the cold front blocking out the moisture from the gulf (which is located in the south of Florida).... this would have created 6-10 inches state wide. This pattern though will continue for a while. Temps may change, but this winter will be as Chris Bailey says, Clipper Mania. La Nina has set in in the east Pacific, and this will be an interesting winter. Typically we find that in La Nina cycles, less frequent snows, but better quality storms. And with the current cycle of early NorEasters, strong alberta clippers, etc.. Its goin to be a tough season to predict, but a very interesting scenario to watch.

Keep an eye out though on about 12-15 days out. We'll either get a nice rain, or a nice snow. It looks to be a very wet event either way.

[ronald_reagan]

I just hope Morehead gets some snow.

Morehead "COULD" get up to an 1 or 2... but I wouldn't hold my breath. These clippers can 'skip' in the atmosphere and the difference of 10-20 miles can make all the difference.

Right now here in Lexington we're experiencing what is called Verga. Upper level clouds are pouring snow, but evaporation is occuring through sublimation and its not reaching the ground. This indicates a dry layer of air, and possibly warmer layer as well. The next wave will come through around 2:00 give or take... At the beginning it too may be verga, but expect it to hit the ground anytime as the upper level saturates.

[OffTheHook]

I hope it stays North til Christmas.

[ronald_reagan]

I hope it stays North til Christmas.

don't count on it. snow pack over canada is building, and that keeps the air really cold up north for those nice little 'artic vortex' visits... which give us the huge charlie brown snowsflakes and foot + accumilations...

[ronald_reagan]

light sprinkles here in lex at 1:59...

[-STAT-]

Whats the update now?

[ComfortEagle]

Richmond got a few flurries around 3 am before it turned into a wintry mix. Not getting any precip. here right now.

[Playboy5]

Was hoping for a snow day today!!

[GodisAshlandTomcat41]

SNOW DAY BABY!! One of the reasons I became a teacher! Haha, not really, but its a nice perk.

[ronald_reagan]

I had a pretty good feeling that this storms track would go a little further north than the earlier models would show.

There is a small chance for some wrap around snow behind the system later today, say around 4-5 pm. However, the chances of accumulation are slim to none.

[Midee1]

I had a pretty good feeling that this storms track would go a little further north than the earlier models would show.

There is a small chance for some wrap around snow behind the system later today, say around 4-5 pm. However, the chances of accumulation are slim to none.

I don't know where you are but in the Russell/Ashland/Flatwoods area I have 1+ inches and the school is on a 2 hour delay. If any of you know the area it has to be a pretty bad for Russell to delay.

[ronald_reagan]

I don't know where you are but in the Russell/Ashland/Flatwoods area I have 1+ inches and the school is on a 2 hour delay. If any of you know the area it has to be a pretty bad for Russell to delay.

Yeah, thats about right. An inch or so for that area. Earlier models and predictions where putting it in the up to 3" range, with lexington getting as much as 2 inches. The NAM almost always over does it. The GFS usually gets it right when it comes to precip, and then you just basically mix the tracks and you'll get a good clue of what happens, and where it happens at.

The closer the storm got, the better we could see it tracking north, and the freeze line got pushed up along with it.

Tonight though, with temps dropping down to about 15-20 degrees depending on where you live, you could find that the roads have some patches of ice tomorrow morning. So be careful.

[BlackcatAlum]

Pike County schools are on a 1-hour delay.

Martin County schools are closed today.

Lucky them...

[phs1986]

Here are a couple of pics from this mornings snow....LOLOL....

[ronald_reagan]

great pics phs,

you should send those into the tv stations, they use them all the time.